Tag Archives: Pacific Northwest Coast

June 2014, Market Analysis

Well, here we are at the beginning of June, a half-way point in our calendar year…yet only the beginning of our main sales window in our secondary home/discretionary marketplace.
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Our busiest viewings/potential sales timeline has truncated down to mid-May (two holiday weekends) to mid-October (Canadian Thanksgiving Weekend). The most active months are July/August/September.

These summer season months dovetail with the boating season in our beautiful protected marine environment.

It used to be that our Salt Spring Island & Gulf Islands destinations were seen as “seasonless”…people would pop in as visitors & as potential buyers throughout the year, although with summer obviously still being the busiest time.

Post-Internet, though, decisions as to tourism destinations are global & Hawaii, Mexico, Florida, Arizona, Palm Desert, the Riviera, Spain, Portugal are seen as winter season ports of call…plus New Zealand & Australia, with their summer in our winter.

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The entire Pacific Northwest Coast, then, has become this seasonally oriented tourist destination…late Spring, Summer, early Fall. I do believe that tourism drives real estate sales in all discretionary regions, & globally so. A shortening of a visitor timeline affects all resort-based area business.

Post-Internet, a potential property buyer also has huge choice as to where to buy that second home, whether for future retirement or recreational for now….

Choice. Too much choice means that it’s difficult to make a decision. An extra element of the post-Internet world.

Time lags for many reasons are a feature of all purchases in any secondary home/discretionary region…including on Salt Spring & the Southern Gulf Islands. Patience, then, is necessary on the part of both sellers & realtors. The buyer propels a market in any “by choice” area.

After a long six years of suppressed conditions, with price reductions between 29 & 45%, depending on property involved, with properties remaining on the market between 2 & 7 years, this year has so far seen a serious uptick in sales volume activity on Salt Spring Island.

Though still mainly busy in the entry-level property segment, the inventory in this category has also been “thinning out” & price points have thus been rising…it was the busiest March Break in six years. This early point in our ever shorter sales window usually foretells our main selling season…summer/early Fall. All good news, then, at this beginning of June moment.

June is often oddly quiet, until the final week. Until summer, it’s a weekend business. The Gulf Islands are recipient markets, buyers are not local, & a tourist visit often creates a real estate sales result.

To date, most sales remain below $800,000, mainly residentialwith the majority of sales below $600,000. A scant handful of sales are over one million. These are early days in our short seasonal market, & a true picture of this 2014 “year of recovery” may not be clear until late August.

One marker of authentic market shift, in an upward direction, would be the resurgence of the undeveloped land category.

There are many societal shifts underway right now. A seeking of a safe haven might be the reason for a return of interest to the secondary home marketplaces…including in the Canadian Gulf Islands.

The ability to be self-sufficient, the proximity to major centres, the peaceful allure of yesteryear in everyday life, the sense of community with all the 21st Century amenities at hand, with a temperate micro-climate, & in the heart of the best protected boating waters in the world…Salt Spring Island & the Gulf Islands are practically perfect.

Looking for your dream Island property? Call me! Your best interests are my motivation. I work for you!

There are many stellar properties awaiting your discovery: waterfronts, oceanviews, farms, vineyards, building opportunities, commercial/business options, acreages/lots…call me, & let’s view. This may be the tail-end of the buyers market….

How may I help you to buy your Salt Spring Island or Southern Gulf Islands property?

Simple Pleasures

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Small pleasures are important to hang onto…& to enjoy.

In this beautiful Pacific Northwest Coast area, the sea usually features. Perhaps it’s just the pleasure of watching it…a deck or a patio, with an ocean vista, and the inspiration of sun and sea and sky’s breadth.

Sometimes, it’s the sleek freedom of sailing…the whisper of the sails in light airs…the sight of seals, sea lions, seabirds…gliding…maybe in the distance a pod of whales.

Sometimes, it’s hiking along a forest trail, emerging onto a beach, wading…maybe having a picnic at shore’s edge.

The news daily reminds us all is transitory. Remember to partake of those small pleasures…with family, with friends, with oneself…depending where on life’s road we find ourselves, small pleasures ignite our days.

Take five…

Enjoy.

July 2012, Salt Spring Island Real Estate Market Analysis

The short intensity of our “season” is upon us…July/August/Sept/October are the physicality moments on Island, for actual viewings.

Inquiries come in year-round, but physical presence to view happens in this short window. Often, when an offer comes in during other months, it turns out that the viewing of the property occurred during these four key months.

These months are also considered to be the best, weather-wise, in our region…definitely a correlation, then, re this timing issue.

Tourism has been the start of sales action in our Gulf Islands environment. People arrive by private boat, by ferry/car, by floatplane…they stay, meander the charms of Ganges Village & discover the environmental beauties of the Island itself…then they decide on a second home/recreational retreat or, if possible, retire & move here, to discover a new lifestyle.

No one “has to” buy on Salt Spring or on another Gulf Island…..it’s all by choice.

This discretionary quality can often mean time lags in decisions. Important for a seller to be “out there”, though, so that a buyer searching on the internet can discover their property option…even though months may go by before they turn up to view & more months may pass before a sales transaction takes place. There is no motivator to action…it’s all at the discretion of the buyer.

Sellers need to be patient & realtors need to be consistent in their marketing message. The Internet has totally changed real estate as an industry, and this is especially evident in the secondary home marketplace. The consumer is now in control, and in a secondary home/resort-based area, the consumer controls the where and the when of all sales.

That said, both the tourism discovery and the weather pattern that attracts, in this coastal region, are underway.

For the first time in almost four years, buyers are back in our area. Appraisers feel that prices dropped around 35% between mid-2007 and mid-2012. Sales volume this year, however, has gone up over last by around 40%.

The sales activity between January 1 & end of June has mainly been in the entry level residential category. Starting in mid-April, the buyer was having to come closer to a seller in offer price point…before that, a seller had to drop further, never mind the reductions en route, to meet the buyer. The difference? Thinning inventory in the entry level residential segment creates price stability.

Prices in the upper tier priced residential options are not stable. The very few sales between one million and 1.5 still show large reductions at the point of the offer.

Undeveloped land sales and commercial property sales remain “flat”.

At this beginning moment, first of July, we may see a build-up of activity in the upper tier priced properties. Between 2007 and present day, most have seen price reductions in the millions…as they slowly capture a buyer’s attention, price points drop substantially further at point of the offer. In this still sticky segment, the buyer reluctance remains a factor.

So…price stability & thinning inventory in entry level residential, lack of consistent interest in upper tier residential, with accompanying severe price reductions when a sale does take place, and no interest yet in undeveloped land or in commercial opportunities. Hmmm…sounds like a market in flux, to me.

Markets are cyclical, and we may be in year 7 of a 7 to 10 year cycle…this implies a natural uptick in activity. Thinning inventory foretells price increases. Undeveloped land sales/new construction will follow, as good residential options sell off. The upper tier options will also improve in sales as a safe haven seeking continues to grow.

So important, in a shift moment, to be looking down the highway and not in the rear view mirror. A positive change is underway in real estate investing.

We are just entering our “season”…and the larger market cycle is slowly upticking. As a seller, this is good news for the first time in four years. For a buyer, it’s an alert to act now…that proverbial buyers market does not last forever, and by this time next year may have vanished entirely.

Perhaps this is the sales volume season?

More information? Call me! How may I help you to buy or to sell your special Island property? Look forward to bringing my knowledge (of both inventory and of trends) to your benefit.

Penturbia and the Pacific Northwest Coast

Brief Salt Spring Island journey

When I first arrived on the Island…

These weren’t “new” projects, though, but simply the building out of things always on the books, so to speak, after the Islands Trust came into being in the mid 1970s.

From 1990 to 1997, then, the Island experienced changes in the “seaside village“, with older buildings being removed and new buildings constructed. Some of the multi-family (i.e. townhome) zoned properties began to be built out, too, in this same time period.

If one had visited the Island in 1985, and then had returned in 1995, it would have been a quite different village core that one would have returned to.

All of the changes, though, had been put in place, as “potentials,” when the Islands Trust was created by the then Provincial Government, in the mid-70s, and were not “new” options. The changes conformed to the Official Community Plan, (where one can read the bylaws and the development permit area regulations, which are the Gulf Islands form of “government”).

From about 1995 to 2001, the Island “rested” in a fairly stable moment; part of this was due to a recession in the Province of B .C., generally, and part of it was the usual resting that takes place after a spurt of building & development occurs.

In early 2001, B.C began to pull out of its recession, and the Gulf Islands and Salt Spring Island were no exception.

Post 9/11, however, it seemed that a general rewriting of one’s life script occurred, world-wide. A movement known as “penturbia“, which was talked about in the 1980s, seemed to have a resurgence of interest. People began to seek out smaller communities.

Marketing of Real Estate in 2010

The arrival of the Internet, and its ease in allowing one to “do business” anywhere in the world, was also a factor in this ability to live somewhere and work, in virtual space, elsewhere.

The beginning of retirement for that broad generational grid known as the “boomer generation” might also have been a factor in the allure of smaller & more recreationally oriented areas.

Several things began to converge, then, and Salt Spring Island’s year round & stand alone community lifestyle began to be noted.

The pleasing microclimate, here, was also a factor (known as cool Mediterranean).

The Islands Trust’s “preserve & protect” mandate, which capped densities on all of the Gulf Islands, including on Salt Spring Island, inadvertently created a higher priced marketplace.

It may not have been their intention to do this. To preserve the park like atmosphere of the Gulf Islands, for the benefit of all of B.C. may have been their reason for coming into being,

but the outcome of these rules prohibiting growth means that the old maxim of “supply and demand” has come into being, too.

The Gulf Islands, including Salt Spring Island, have seen substantial price increases, in recent years, due to the stringent controls on density, put in place by the Islands Trust, in the mid- 70s.

The allure of the Pacific Northwest Coast, and the extra charm of the Gulf Islands, means that we’ve been “discovered”, as an area, in some fashion, & discovered by a “global audience”.

There’s a limited amount of land available for development, on any Gulf Island, because of the Islands Trust’s mandate.

It seems, as one encounters Salt Spring and the Southern Gulf Islands, that they are very close to what I term the “wall of no more”. As one drives around the Island, today, one is seeing it as it will always be — some new areas may be opened up, but they won’t be visible from the main roads, and the Island is pretty well its “essential self”, now.

Price escalation, in the end, will be inevitable because of the cap on density.

Markets are cyclical in nature, of course, and there will be ups and downs in the “hard asset” marketplace of real estate. If one is lucky enough to be a homeowner on this special and beautiful Island, though, it is a gift for the future to one’s family. It is an investment of a different kind.

The Salt Spring real estate market, though, over the years that I’ve been on the Island, seems to have evolved into a secondary home marketplace.

At the moment, most purchases are second or third home alternatives. Busy people, with main lives “elsewhere”, can’t just immediately “arrive” and stay.

They may end up calling this their principal residence, but it doesn’t often start that way. There may be landed immigrant issues, too — to be here year round requires further conversations, perhaps with an immigration lawyer. It is a mainly out of province purchaser profile, and they cannot always “be here”, full time, to begin with.

All of these shifts create change

Thales once commented, in Ancient Greece, that

one never dips one’s toe in the same river water, twice.

Change is the only constant, other philosophers state. In change is opportunity, perhaps.

Whether Islanders care for this concept or not, change has occurred, steadily, over the past several years. Salt Spring is not a backwater, although it does owe the Trust a debt of thanks for having retained its essential “rural charm,” in these past years.

Realtors are able to be “interpreters” of change, as they are often, just like mortgage brokers and appraisers, in the “front line” of shifting markets. They aren’t the creators of change, though.

With the pressure “on” to allow more development, on the Island, as a result of the desire of some property holders to subdivide, and the desire of the Trust to fulfill its mandate of “to preserve & protect“, and, at the same time, reflecting the growth in population in this unincorporated area, the Island does face some interesting challenges, at this moment in time.

Affordable housing, an aging population, a wish to attract a seasonal recreational visitor and to create a viable business core in the commercial sector, etc. etc. — these are concerns and suggestions of and from Islanders.