Tag Archives: market analysis

June 3, Salt Spring Island – Market Update


June 3, 2025 Market Update

Buyers Remain Hesitant as Inventory Builds

May saw inventory levels across Metro Vancouver reach another ten-year high, while home sales registered on the MLS® remained muted.

The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR) reports that residential sales in the region totalled 2,228 in May 2025, an 18.5 per cent decrease from the 2,733 sales recorded in May 2024. This was 30.5 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (3,206).

“While there are emerging signs that sales activity might be turning a corner, sales in May were below the ten-year seasonal average, which suggests that some buyers are still sitting on the sidelines or are being especially selective,” said Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics. “On a year-to-date basis, sales in 2025 rank among the slowest to start the year in the past decade, closely mirroring the trends seen in 2019 and 2020. It’s worth noting that sales rebounded significantly in the latter half of 2020, but whether sales in 2025 might follow a similar pattern remains the million-dollar question.”

Inventory Levels Surge

There were 6,620 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in May 2025. This represents a 3.9 per cent increase compared to the 6,374 properties listed in May 2024. This was 9.3 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (6,055).

The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 17,094, a 25.7 per cent increase compared to May 2024 (13,600). This is 45.9 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (11,718).

Sales-to-Active Listings Ratios by Property Type:

  • Overall Market
    13.4%
  • Detached Homes
    10.2%
  • Attached Homes
    17.4%
  • Apartments
    14.7%

Market Dynamics & Price Pressure

Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.

“With some of the healthiest levels of inventory seen in years, many sellers are adjusting price expectations, which has provided buyers more negotiating room and kept a firm lid on price escalation over the past few months,” Lis said. “From a seasonal perspective, sales in the summer months are typically quieter than the spring, but with such an unusually slow spring, we may have an unusually busy summer with so many having delayed their purchasing decisions. Either way, the market continues tilting in favour of buyers, which bodes well for anyone looking to make a purchase this summer.”

Benchmark Pricing Overview

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,177,100. This represents a 2.9 per cent decrease over May 2024 and a 0.6 per cent decrease compared to April 2025.

Property Performance Summary

Detached Homes

$1,997,400

  • • 654 sales (-22.7% YoY)
  • • -3.2% vs May 2024
  • • -1.2% vs April 2025

Apartment Homes

$757,300

  • • 1,087 sales (-18.8% YoY)
  • • -2.4% vs May 2024
  • • -0.7% vs April 2025

Attached Homes

$1,106,800

  • • 469 sales (-10.3% YoY)
  • • -3.4% vs May 2024
  • • +0.4% vs April 2025

Market Segment Report, April 6, 2025

2025 Market Segment Report, April 6, 2025



Salt Spring Island

We live in interesting times in all marketing options, including for real estate offerings.

It was very nice to receive recent acknowledgement from FeedSpot Top 100 Real Estate Blogs, for my consistent blogging.

Check this out: Feedspot Top 100 Real Estate Blogs

FeedSpot highlights many worthy real estate oriented blogs and awards them their badge.

I appreciated being noticed.

Thank you, FeedSpot.

Li.

As always, Stay Tuned!!

March 28th – Market Update – Times Colonist

Thank you to the Victoria newspaper (Times Colonist) for continuing to express various submissions of complaint about Bill 7. Important to be informed.

“Wrong direction’: B.C. Chamber of Commerce latest group to decry tariff bill” Opinion: Times Colonist March 28, 2025


Times Colonist

Bill 7 would give the cabinet powers to react to challenges from the actions of a foreign jurisdiction, or for a purpose “supporting the economy of British Columbia and Canada” without requiring debate in the legislature.

Rational oversight needed for Eby

Proposed legislation in British Columbia to give the cabinet sweeping powers to respond to threats from foreign governments amid Canada’s tariff fight is “a step in the wrong direction for democratic institutions,” the president of the provincial chamber of commerce says.

Fiona Famulak becomes the latest to voice concerns over legislation tabled this month that the provincial government says it needs to respond to U.S. President Donald Trump.

In a letter to Premier David Eby and Attorney General Niki Sharma released Wednesday, Famulak said the legislation known as Bill 7 lacks “guardrails” and allows the government to make nearly any change it wants to provincial laws “with the stroke of a pen.”

“As a nation, we universally decry the progression towards authoritarian rule through decree by the executive branch of the United States. There is no justification for taking similar steps here in British Columbia or Canada,” Famulak said.

“By not being accountable to the legislature, government is requiring that we move forward on faith and trust alone. This is neither sufficient nor acceptable.”

Famulak said the organization, which represents 36,000 businesses in the province, is concerned the legislation would allow government to remove or impose new conditions on existing licences or permits if it believes the action would support the economy, throwing business operations into flux.

The bill also includes sections that would give cabinet the power to implement charges on vehicles using B.C. infrastructure, allow the politicians to make directives about public-sector procurement, and eliminate provincial trade barriers by allowing goods produced, manufactured or grown elsewhere in Canada to be sold or used in B.C.

Ravi Kahlon, chair of B.C.’s cabinet committee on tariff response, said in a statement Thursday that they are hearing some concerns and questions about specific details of the bill and are talking to government partners now.

“We want to address any concerns and ensure B.C. is prepared to act with urgency to respond directly to Trump’s actions and protect B.C. businesses and jobs — as people expect us to do. This may mean additional guardrails,” his statement said.

Famulak said the chamber “wholeheartedly” endorses the removal of interprovincial trade barriers as part of the government’s response to the “unjustified and counterproductive tariffs.”

After praising the legislation’s focus on internal trade when it was released, the Greater Vancouver Board of Trade issued a letter the next day calling for the separation of the internal trade section from the rest of the bill.

“The other parts of Bill 7 are truly unprecedented in scope, including the sweeping powers that would be conferred to the cabinet,” president Bridgitte Anderson said in her letter.

“While it’s clear Trump’s trade war has spurred an economic emergency, it is not clear to us that the sweeping powers are required or justified.”

When the bill was tabled, Eby said Trump is “unpredictable” and “erratic” and the province needs to be able to move quickly to minimize damage from his actions.

“When there’s an emergency, like a natural disaster, we have these authorities. This is a human-caused disaster,” he said.

The legislation comes with a 2027 sunset clause and requires that the government report on its actions.

Trump has placed and then paused 25 per cent tariffs on Canadian goods since he became president, and on Wednesday signed an order that would put a 25 per cent tariff on automobile imports to the United States starting next week.

On April 2 he is set to implement what he calls “reciprocal” tariffs by raising U.S. duties to match the tax rates that other countries charge on imports.

B.C.’s government has said a 25 per cent tariff on Canadian goods and a similar response from Canada would cumulatively cost the province $69 billion in lost GDP if the trade war lasts the entire four years of the Trump presidency.

Concerns about the provincial legislation have also been raised by the Independent Contractors and Businesses Association, which called the bill an unprecedented attempt to concentrate power in the hands of the premier that must be stopped.

The Justice Centre for Constitutional Freedoms said the bill “erodes the distinction between the legislative and executive branches of government in British Columbia, thereby putting pressure on the constitutional principle of the separation of powers.”

Politicians return to Victoria next week and the bill is expected to be a major test for Eby’s government, which holds a majority of only one seat.

The BC Green Party, which signed a confidence agreement with Eby’s New Democrats, said its representatives continue to meet with the government this week over Bill 7.

Interim Green Leader Jeremy Valeriote said in a statement last week that Bill 7 in its current form has “vague wording” and “could allow for sweeping economic decisions without clear limits or transparency.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published March 27, 2025.

Ashley Joannou, The Canadian Press

February 2025 – Preview – Market Analysis

Salt Spring Island

Salt Spring Island

Lovely February, usually a traditional coastal reminder of the coming Spring, is visiting our coastal region wearing its Winter face. An Arctic Front is being forecast, with significant snow for Vancouver Island and the Gulf Islands. No one is ever ready for this weather downturn, especially after a Spring-like January. That said, it might only last a week…definitely a soft version of a real Winter.

It’s difficult to suggest a usual first day of a new month market report, this time around. Threatened tariffs from U.S. will affect Canada if put in place. February 1st was stated as the date they would kick in. As soon as an outcome is known, will make my “early month report”.

Meantime, listing inventory remains exceedingly low. Prices have remained relatively stable. After two and a half years of buyer inaction, sales did slowly begin in last quarter of 2024, with projections that this activity would continue in 2025.

The tariff issue with Canada’s largest trading partner is the wild card item. More later!

October 2024 – Market Analysis – Salt Spring Island

The Real Estate Market in Fall

October arrives with harvest season fully in play, with shorter days, crisper nights, and star-watching as the winter constellation of Orion climbs up the sky. Special events at ArtSpring, gallery openings in Ganges, Parks and Recreation offerings at the indoor pool, and the Canadian Thanksgiving Holiday Weekend mid-month.

The real estate market is also fully in play with the Fall Market (often called the “second Spring”). People may have viewed opportunities earlier and now have decided to offer. In some cases, new listings pop up as owners who chose to enjoy another summer have now listed for Fall. It’s a buoyant time.

Market Trends and Buyer Hesitation


Low inventory continues. Although the summer season (June, July, August) was quiet in sales across Canada, prices remained stable. The BOC (Bank of Canada) interest rate cuts (three so far) have not generated a corresponding buyer action. Buyers are still hesitant.

If a buyer needs to stay under a million on Salt Spring, the choice is a townhome. A single-family home requires one to consider a purchase in the range of 1.1 to 1.45 million, and this range will most likely require upgrades or renovations. To find a ready-to-go home, one will need to consider a price range between 1.6 and 2.1 million. Waterfront options are higher. If upgrades are needed, oceanfront listings can be found in the 1.7 to 2.3 million range. A ready-to-go waterfront home will most likely fall between 2.5 and 3.8 million. Estate properties are higher.

Post-Pandemic Real Estate Landscape

The rush to leave urban for rural, following the pandemic closures in 2020, created higher prices and low inventory. 2021 was characterized by many “over ask” and unconditional offers. Despite pauses in 2022 and 2023, prices remained stable and inventory low.

Projections call for continuing price stability and low inventory as we look toward 2025 and beyond. As long as the housing shortage persists and immigration grows, the economic reality of low supply leading to high prices will continue. Government efforts to address the housing crisis have not worked so far.

Lifestyle and Ownership Opportunities


Although a Gulf Island purchase might have been recreational several years ago, it is now mainly a lifestyle choice, and people plan to live year-round where they buy. The Islands Trust form of governance (in place since 1974) also keeps inventory low. Growth has been controlled through severe zoning and bylaw restrictions.

It’s interesting that an increase in renovations since 2020 is another reason for price increases. Owners are increasing the value of their properties, whether they sell them or not.

So, here we are, at the very beginning of October. Many consider the early part of Fall one of the loveliest seasons on the great Pacific Northwest Coast. It’s a good time to visit, explore opportunities for a purchase, and discover the many elements that make up the unique Gulf Islands/Salt Spring Island lifestyle: agriculture, arts, alternative health options, respect for and enjoyment of the natural world.

Already here? Be a visitor in your own backyard. Wanting to be here? Let’s explore ownership possibilities. Consider a land purchase and investigate new manufactured home options (recent changes in construction techniques can benefit buyers). What about shared ownership? A lawyer can explain the various ways to benefit from shared ownership with family or friends. Is it for you?

Meantime, October welcomes the harvest bounty of this dynamic time of year. Enjoy!

Salt Spring Island, February 2024, Market Analysis

February in the Pacific Northwest Coast Real Estate Market

February often starts the early Spring market on the Pacific Northwest Coast. The trend for 2024 might not be evident till March Break, but February introduces the early activity.

Salt Spring Real Estate Market – Early February

What do we see in the Salt Spring real estate market at this very beginning of February? The song of thin inventory continues. This is a theme seen in competing Vancouver Island communities…lack of listings is not just a Gulf Island issue.

Why Owners Hesitate to Sell

There are many reasons for owners not wanting to be sellers. That flight from urban to rural, post-pandemic, continues. It may be about a desire for safety. Geopolitical concerns are part of location decisions. A desire to be apart from city problems is a strong driver to action…a seeking of a “kinder gentler” lifestyle makes sense. There is also that “back to the land” component, where one can be self-sufficient if supply chains falter. These elements may propel buyers, but they also stop owners from becoming sellers…they are already enjoying these elements. IF they thought of selling, they would discover they can’t find a replacement property elsewhere…no inventory…and so it goes.

Gulf Islands Governance and Real Estate

Under the Gulf Islands form of governance (Islands Trust, with a mandate to “preserve and protect” the environmental beauties of the Gulf Islands for the benefit of all B.C. residents), in place since 1974, a buyer purchase/investment is ensured to remain as purchased. In this era of extreme change, this continuation of what one fell in love with, and purchased, is a strong feature of decisions to invest on a Gulf Island.

Ganges

Market Dynamics and Future Trends

It’s also a recipe for price escalation. Will we see multiple owners as a buyer profile, going forward, so that one can enjoy ownership of a Gulf Island property? Hmmm….there are always work-arounds and creative ownership models may be one outcome to encourage the opportunity to own, as prices rise and inventory remains static.

A February 2024 Market Analysis On Salt Spring

So: the very beginning of February shows continuing low inventory, with buyer interest showing up in all price ranges and property types, and now with a sense that one needs to act. The pauses in action, seen in 2022 and 2023, appear to be over. Oddly, this increase in activity began in November 2023. The interest rate fluctuations remain a factor in buyer outcomes. Those having to renew mortgages in 2024 and 2025 will also be making decisions as to whether to hold or to sell. Lack of inventory to buy or to rent may decide people to struggle on with current ownership.

Real Estate as Capital Preservation

Many on both sides of the seller/buyer divide are seeing real estate as a way to preserve capital. Concern about erosion of purchasing power of currencies has people thinking about how to retain value in their holdings.

Anticipating Future Outcomes

Lots of outcomes still waiting to be formed…it’s very early in what promises to be a busy year. It’s a good idea to attend seminars and financial webinars…all information is helpful in times of change. And also keep an eye on AI…implants that allow one’s thoughts to effect change? Hmmm…. Mid-Feb welcomes the Year of the Wood Dragon in the Asian Lunar New Year. The western zodiac sees Pluto in Aquarius, a line-up not seen since the French Revolution. Recipes for change? Keep your editing function fired up.

Exploring the Local Area in February

So: February. Check the garden…early bulbs and shrubs are flowering forward. Give yourself the gift of new…zip off to Victoria or Sidney and look at a different set of walls. Remember the Cowichan Valley…on our doorstep and lots to see and do there. Beaches to explore at Parksville/Qualicum or all the way to Tofino. Check out our close neighbours, the other Southern Gulf Islands…each with their own signature. A day trip makes us glad to get back to Salt Spring’s many charms. Family Day holiday weekend in mid-February invites us to sample other nearby spaces. Lucky us…adventure on!